Argentine Liga Profesional · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK
Defensa y Justicia — Independiente
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Defensa y Justicia are slightly stronger: 43% against 26%, draw 30%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Defensa y Justicia — Independiente What is xG? | 1.2–0.9 | |
| Defensa y Justicia not to lose | 74% | |
| Independiente not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Defensa y Justicia
- Defensa y Justicia goals
- Independiente goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10away · Unión2:0
- 03.10San Lorenzo3:0
- 19.09away · Central Córdoba de Santiago2:2
- 12.09Gimnasia Mendoza2:0
- 06.09away · Lanús0:1
- 12.10away · Talleres0:0
- 03.10Instituto1:4
- 19.09away · Unión2:1
- 14.09San Lorenzo1:1
- 06.09away · Central Córdoba de Santiago1:0
Head to head
- 19.04.2026Independiente — Defensa y Justicia3:1
- 04.06.2024Defensa y Justicia — Independiente0:0
- 20.02.2023Independiente — Defensa y Justicia0:2
- 21.07.2022Defensa y Justicia — Independiente2:1
- 21.08.2021Independiente — Defensa y Justicia0:0
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 5228211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- Atlético TucumánArgentinos Juniorspreliminary343135XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.9
- Independiente RivadaviaBanfieldpreliminary5725181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →