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La Liga, round 13 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Deportivo Alavés — Deportivo A Coruña

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Model prediction for 21 November

Deportivo Alavés45%
Draw29%
Deportivo A Coruña26%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Deportivo Alavés are slightly stronger: 45% against 26%, draw 29%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).

Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 51%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Deportivo Alavés are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
  • Deportivo Alavés are 115 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Deportivo Alavés — No. 11, 12 pts; Deportivo A Coruña — No. 8, 14 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • Deportivo Alavés: winless in 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Deportivo Alavés — Deportivo A Coruña What is xG?1.4–1.1
Deportivo Alavés not to lose74%
Deportivo A Coruña not to lose55%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes51%
Both teams to score: no49%
Total over 2.546%
Total under 2.554%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Deportivo Alavés
  • Deportivo Alavés goals
  • Deportivo A Coruña goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatDeportivo AlavésDeportivo A Coruña
Goals scored per match1.21.6
Goals conceded per match1.71.2
xG per match1.161.72
Opponents’ xG1.510.97
Shots12.215.2
On target4.25.1
Corners3.96.6
Cards1.71.4
Possession, %4053

Averages per match: Deportivo Alavés — the last 10, Deportivo A Coruña — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Deportivo Alavés

  • 31.10away · Barcelona1:6
  • 23.10Málaga1:1
  • 18.10away · Celta Vigo1:2
  • 10.10Atlético Madrid1:2
  • 19.09away · Athletic Club0:0

Deportivo A Coruña

  • 02.11Osasuna2:1
  • 29.10away · Auriense3:0
  • 24.10away · Atlético Madrid0:1
  • 16.10Levante1:1
  • 11.10away · Real Sociedad2:3

Head to head

  • 06.01.2021Deportivo A Coruña — Deportivo Alavés0:1

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7Athletic Club1043314–10+415
8Deportivo A Coruña1135315–14+114
9Villarreal1133515–15012
10Celta Vigo1126310–10012
11Deportivo Alavés1133515–17-212
12Rayo Vallecano1033415–20-512

Season 2026/27

Full table

La Liga on the same day

  • Rayo VallecanoValenciapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
  • SevillaReal Betispreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
  • Real MadridCelta Vigopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →