La Liga, round 13 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Sevilla — Real Betis
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sevilla are slightly stronger: 40% against 32%, draw 28%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Sevilla — No. 6, 17 pts; Real Betis — No. 4, 23 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Sevilla 1 win, Real Betis 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sevilla — Real Betis What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Sevilla not to lose | 68% | |
| Real Betis not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sevilla
- Sevilla goals
- Real Betis goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Sevilla | Real Betis |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| xG per match | 1.18 | 1.81 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.27 | 1.33 |
| Shots | 14.5 | 18.3 |
| On target | 5.0 | 6.6 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 5.1 |
| Cards | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| Possession, % | 45 | 53 |
Form
- 01.11away · Getafe1:3
- 29.10away · Sporting Hortaleza3:0
- 26.10Osasuna2:0
- 18.10away · Real Madrid1:4
- 12.10away · Levante3:3
Head to head
- 01.03.2026Real Betis — Sevilla2:2
- 30.11.2025Sevilla — Real Betis0:2
- 30.03.2025Real Betis — Sevilla2:1
- 06.10.2024Sevilla — Real Betis1:0
- 28.04.2024Real Betis — Sevilla1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Champions League | Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | +18 | 27 |
| 4, Champions League | Real Betis | 11 | 7 | +3 | 23 |
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 0 | 19 |
| 6, Europa League or Conference League | Sevilla | 11 | 5 | -2 | 17 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4 | +4 | 15 |
La Liga on the same day
- Deportivo AlavésDeportivo A Coruñapreliminary4529261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- Rayo VallecanoValenciapreliminary5128211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- Real MadridCelta Vigopreliminary831351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →