Peruvian Liga 1 · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Deportivo Garcilaso — Los Chankas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Deportivo Garcilaso are clear favourites: 67% against 13% for the opponent, draw 21%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Deportivo Garcilaso are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Los Chankas: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Deportivo Garcilaso 2 wins, Los Chankas 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Deportivo Garcilaso — Los Chankas What is xG? | 1.9–0.7 | |
| Deportivo Garcilaso not to lose | 87% | |
| Los Chankas not to lose | 33% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Deportivo Garcilaso
- Deportivo Garcilaso goals
- Los Chankas goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Sport Huancayo0:1
- 20.09Universitario de Deportes4:0
- 13.09away · Sport Boys0:1
- 06.09Atlético Grau4:2
- 30.08away · Alianza Lima1:0
- 08.10away · Atlético Grau0:0
- 30.09away · Cienciano1:1
- 12.09FC Cajamarca1:2
- 06.09away · Sporting Cristal0:5
- 29.08ADC Juan Pablo II3:4
Head to head
- 04.05.2026Los Chankas — Deportivo Garcilaso0:1
- 19.07.2025Deportivo Garcilaso — Los Chankas3:0
- 10.02.2025Los Chankas — Deportivo Garcilaso2:2
- 29.09.2024Los Chankas — Deportivo Garcilaso1:0
- 29.04.2024Deportivo Garcilaso — Los Chankas1:1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 67% will not happen in roughly 33 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →