Nigeria NPFL, round 11 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Doma United — Ikorodu City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Doma United are slightly stronger: 44% against 27%, draw 29%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Ikorodu City are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Doma United — No. 5, 13 pts; Ikorodu City — No. 6, 12 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Doma United — Ikorodu City What is xG? | 1.3–1.0 | |
| Doma United not to lose | 73% | |
| Ikorodu City not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Doma United
- Doma United goals
- Ikorodu City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Nasarawa United0:2
- 04.10Warri Wolves FC1:0
- 27.09away · Katsina United1:2
- 23.09Plateau United2:2
- 20.09away · Kano Pillars1:4
- 10.10Kwara United2:0
- 04.10away · Rivers United FC0:2
- 30.09away · Sporting Lagos0:0
- 27.09Enugu Rangers2:0
- 23.09away · Bendel Insurance1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Barau | 8 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | Doma United | 8 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 6 | Ikorodu City | 8 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 | Bendel Insurance | 8 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →