Russian Premier League, round 13 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Dynamo Makhachkala — FC Rostov

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Model prediction for 1 November

Dynamo Makhachkala39%
Draw34%
FC Rostov27%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dynamo Makhachkala are slightly stronger: 39% against 27%, draw 34%.

The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dynamo Makhachkala — FC Rostov What is xG?1.2–1.0
Dynamo Makhachkala not to lose73%
FC Rostov not to lose61%
No draw66%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.537%
Total under 2.563%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Dynamo Makhachkala
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Form

Dynamo Makhachkala

  • 10.10away · FC Orenburg0:4
  • 17.09CSKA Moscow1:3
  • 13.09away · FK Akhmat2:3
  • 06.09Rodina2:0
  • 02.09away · Zenit St. Petersburg0:3

FC Rostov

  • 09.10Akron Togliatti1:0
  • 17.09Dinamo Moscow0:3
  • 13.09away · Spartak Moscow0:3
  • 05.09Fakel3:1
  • 01.09CSKA Moscow2:0

Head to head

  • 02.05.2026Dynamo Makhachkala — FC Rostov1:2
  • 04.03.2026FC Rostov — Dynamo Makhachkala0:2
  • 25.10.2025FC Rostov — Dynamo Makhachkala1:1
  • 02.10.2025Dynamo Makhachkala — FC Rostov1:1
  • 27.08.2025FC Rostov — Dynamo Makhachkala1:3

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
9Krylya Sovetov Samara1026214–15-112
10Dynamo Makhachkala1040615–20-512
11FK Akhmat1025313–13011
12FC Rostov1032511–17-611
13, Relegation play-offLokomotiv Moscow1024413–11+210

Season 2026/27

Full table

Russian Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →