2. Bundesliga, round 7 · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Eintracht-Stadion
Eintracht Braunschweig — Holstein Kiel
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1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Eintracht Braunschweig to win (38%), came true.
Evenly matched: Eintracht Braunschweig 38%, Holstein Kiel 34%, draw 28%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Eintracht Braunschweig — Holstein Kiel What is xG? | 1.5–1.4 | |
| Eintracht Braunschweig not to lose | 66% | |
| Holstein Kiel not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Eintracht Braunschweig
- Eintracht Braunschweig goals
- Holstein Kiel goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 19.09away · Kaiserslautern0:1
- 12.09Dynamo Dresden2:2
- 06.09away · VfL Osnabrück1:3
- 28.08Hertha BSC3:5
- 23.08Union Berlin2:4
- 19.09VfL Osnabrück1:1
- 13.09away · FC Heidenheim0:1
- 05.091. FC Nürnberg2:2
- 30.08away · Magdeburg0:2
- 22.08away · 1860 München2:0
Head to head
- 02.05.2026Holstein Kiel — Eintracht Braunschweig2:0
- 07.12.2025Eintracht Braunschweig — Holstein Kiel1:1
- 19.01.2024Holstein Kiel — Eintracht Braunschweig1:2
- 30.07.2023Eintracht Braunschweig — Holstein Kiel0:1
- 17.02.2023Eintracht Braunschweig — Holstein Kiel2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | VfL Osnabrück | 7 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Bochum | 7 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 17, Relegation | Karlsruher SC | 7 | 1 | -8 | 5 |
| 18, Relegation | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 0 | -4 | 4 |
Next matches
- Holstein KielHertha BSC16 October · 2. Bundesliga3427392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
- Greuther FürthEintracht Braunschweig17 October · 2. Bundesliga4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
2. Bundesliga on the same day
- 5424231The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.3.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →