Bundesliga, round 6 · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FC Köln
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Eintracht Frankfurt are clear favourites: 52% against 22% for the opponent, draw 26%.
3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Eintracht Frankfurt are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Eintracht Frankfurt — No. 14, 5 pts; 1. FC Köln — No. 10, 7 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Eintracht Frankfurt 1 win, 1. FC Köln 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FC Köln What is xG? | 2.0–1.4 | |
| Eintracht Frankfurt not to lose | 78% | |
| 1. FC Köln not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Eintracht Frankfurt
- Eintracht Frankfurt goals
- 1. FC Köln goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · RB Leipzig0:6
- 19.09Freiburg2:2
- 12.09away · Mainz 053:1
- 06.09Augsburg1:4
- 29.08away · Union Berlin3:3
- 11.10Borussia Mönchengladbach2:1
- 19.09away · Hamburger SV1:2
- 12.09Werder Bremen1:1
- 04.09away · VfB Stuttgart1:4
- 29.08Hoffenheim3:2
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FC Köln2:2
- 22.11.20251. FC Köln — Eintracht Frankfurt3:4
- 03.02.20241. FC Köln — Eintracht Frankfurt2:0
- 03.09.2023Eintracht Frankfurt — 1. FC Köln1:1
- 12.02.20231. FC Köln — Eintracht Frankfurt3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | 1. FC Köln | 5 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 | Paderborn | 5 | 1 | -4 | 4 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →