2. Bundesliga, round 10 · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Energie Cottbus — Bochum

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Model prediction for 30 October

Energie Cottbus39%
Draw27%
Bochum34%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Energie Cottbus 39%, Bochum 34%, draw 27%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.

Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 72%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Energie Cottbus — Bochum What is xG?1.8–1.8
Energie Cottbus not to lose66%
Bochum not to lose61%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes72%
Both teams to score: no28%
Total over 2.569%
Total under 2.531%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Energie Cottbus
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Form

Energie Cottbus

  • 10.10away · Darmstadt1:3
  • 20.09St. Pauli1:1
  • 13.09away · Karlsruher SC3:0
  • 05.09away · Wolfsburg4:4
  • 29.08Greuther Fürth3:4

Bochum

  • 11.10Arminia Bielefeld0:1
  • 20.09away · Hannover 961:2
  • 12.09Greuther Fürth1:1
  • 05.09away · Dynamo Dresden2:1
  • 28.08VfL Osnabrück0:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7St. Pauli724110–8+210
8Energie Cottbus722315–16-18
9Arminia Bielefeld722311–12-18
11Eintracht Braunschweig721413–1307
12Bochum72145–7-27
13Hannover 9672147–12-57

Season 2026/27

Full table

2. Bundesliga on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →