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Turkish Super Lig, round 12 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)

Erzurumspor FK — Göztepe

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Model prediction for 22 November

Erzurumspor FK31%
Draw31%
Göztepe38%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Erzurumspor FK 31%, Göztepe 38%, draw 31%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).

Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Göztepe are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Erzurumspor FK — No. 11, 14 pts; Göztepe — No. 9, 15 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
  • Göztepe: 4 wins in a row.
  • Last 4 meetings: Erzurumspor FK 1 win, Göztepe 2, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Erzurumspor FK — Göztepe What is xG?1.1–1.3
Erzurumspor FK not to lose62%
Göztepe not to lose69%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Both teams to score: no46%
Total over 2.546%
Total under 2.554%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Erzurumspor FK
  • Erzurumspor FK goals
  • Göztepe goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatErzurumspor FKGöztepe
Goals scored per match0.92.1
Goals conceded per match1.51.7
xG per match0.821.93
Opponents’ xG1.311.70
Shots9.915.7
On target2.95.8
Corners3.54.9
Cards1.22.6
Possession, %4340

Averages per match: Erzurumspor FK — the last 10, Göztepe — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Erzurumspor FK

  • 31.10Çorum FK1:3
  • 24.10away · Gaziantep FK3:1
  • 17.10Eyüpspor2:0
  • 10.10away · Alanyaspor0:0
  • 20.09Samsunspor1:0

Göztepe

  • 31.10away · Fenerbahçe2:1
  • 25.10Çorum FK2:0
  • 18.10away · Kocaelispor2:1
  • 12.10away · Eyüpspor4:0
  • 20.09Rizespor2:2

Head to head

  • 09.01.2025Erzurumspor FK — Göztepe0:1
  • 08.03.2021Göztepe — Erzurumspor FK3:1
  • 07.11.2020Erzurumspor FK — Göztepe1:1
  • 20.04.2019Göztepe — Erzurumspor FK0:1

Full record: 5 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
8Kocaelispor1051411–9+216
9Göztepe1043321–17+415
10Başakşehir1042417–16+114
11Erzurumspor FK104249–15-614
12Alanyaspor103349–16-712

Season 2026/27

Full table

Super Lig on the same day

  • KasımpaşaAlanyasporpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
  • KonyasporBeşiktaşpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
  • TrabzonsporEyüpsporpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →