Turkish Super Lig, round 12 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Trabzonspor — Eyüpspor
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Trabzonspor are clear favourites: 83% against 4% for the opponent, draw 13%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Trabzonspor are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
- Trabzonspor are 423 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Trabzonspor — No. 3, 22 pts; Eyüpspor — No. 18, 3 pts. A gap of 19 pts.
- Trabzonspor: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 4 meetings: Trabzonspor 3 wins, Eyüpspor 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Trabzonspor — Eyüpspor What is xG? | 2.6–0.7 | |
| Trabzonspor not to lose | 96% | |
| Eyüpspor not to lose | 17% | |
| No draw | 87% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Trabzonspor
- Trabzonspor goals
- Eyüpspor goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Trabzonspor | Eyüpspor |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| xG per match | 2.08 | 0.82 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.32 | 2.29 |
| Shots | 14.4 | 11.5 |
| On target | 6.7 | 3.5 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 3.7 |
| Cards | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Possession, % | 53 | 50 |
Form
- 01.11Gaziantep FK2:0
- 26.10away · Rizespor4:3
- 22.10Heart of Midlothian2:0
- 19.10Beşiktaş2:0
- 15.10away · KuPS4:2
- 04.11away · Fethiyespor4:2
- 01.11away · Amed Sportif1:5
- 24.10Kasımpaşa0:1
- 17.10away · Erzurumspor FK0:2
- 12.10Göztepe0:4
Head to head
- 18.03.2026Eyüpspor — Trabzonspor0:1
- 25.10.2025Trabzonspor — Eyüpspor2:0
- 10.02.2025Trabzonspor — Eyüpspor1:0
- 01.09.2024Eyüpspor — Trabzonspor0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Amed Sportif | 10 | 7 | +14 | 23 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Trabzonspor | 10 | 7 | +16 | 22 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Beşiktaş | 10 | 6 | +8 | 19 |
| 17, Relegation | Samsunspor | 10 | 1 | -16 | 4 |
| 18, Relegation | Eyüpspor | 10 | 1 | -25 | 3 |
Super Lig on the same day
- Erzurumspor FKGöztepepreliminary3131382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
- KasımpaşaAlanyasporpreliminary5128211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- KonyasporBeşiktaşpreliminary2027532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →