Turkish Super Lig, round 12 · Sunday, 22 November, 16:00 (UTC+3)

Konyaspor — Beşiktaş

Model prediction for 22 November

Konyaspor20%

Draw27%

Beşiktaş53%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Beşiktaş are clear favourites: 53% against 20% for the opponent, draw 27%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).

Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 59%.

Why

By the strength ratings Beşiktaş are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Beşiktaş are 95 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

League table: Konyaspor — No. 15, 8 pts; Beşiktaş — No. 4, 19 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
Last 5 meetings: Konyaspor 2 wins, Beşiktaş 3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Konyaspor — Beşiktaş What is xG?		1.1–1.7
Konyaspor not to lose		47%
Beşiktaş not to lose		80%
No draw		73%
Both teams to score: yes		59%
Both teams to score: no		41%
Total over 2.5		55%
Total under 2.5		45%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Konyaspor
Konyaspor goals
Beşiktaş goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Konyaspor	Beşiktaş
Goals scored per match	0.6	2.2
Goals conceded per match	1.3	1.4
xG per match	1.11	1.96
Opponents’ xG	1.33	1.08
Shots	10.8	15.8
On target	3.3	5.7
Corners	3.2	5.3
Cards	2.3	2.4
Possession, %	49	60

Averages per match: Konyaspor — the last 10, Beşiktaş — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Konyaspor

30.10Galatasaray0:4
25.10Gençlerbirliği2:0
17.10away · Amed Sportif0:1
11.10Başakşehir0:0
18.09away · Kasımpaşa0:0

Beşiktaş

01.11away · Kasımpaşa2:2
26.10Başakşehir2:0
22.10Crystal Palace2:2
19.10away · Trabzonspor0:2
15.10away · Hoffenheim3:2

Head to head

05.05.2026Beşiktaş — Konyaspor0:1
31.01.2026Beşiktaş — Konyaspor2:1
22.10.2025Konyaspor — Beşiktaş0:2
15.03.2025Konyaspor — Beşiktaş1:0
20.10.2024Beşiktaş — Konyaspor2:0

Full record: 21 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
3, Europa League or Conference League	Trabzonspor	10	7	1	2	24–8	+16	22
4, Europa League or Conference League	Beşiktaş	10	6	1	3	20–12	+8	19
5	Kasımpaşa	10	4	5	1	15–11	+4	17
14	Gençlerbirliği	10	3	2	5	12–18	-6	11
15	Konyaspor	10	2	2	6	6–13	-7	8
16, Relegation	Gaziantep FK	10	2	2	6	9–17	-8	8

Season 2026/27

Full table

Super Lig on the same day

13:30
Erzurumspor FKGöztepepreliminary
313138
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
16:00
KasımpaşaAlanyasporpreliminary
512821
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
19:00
TrabzonsporEyüpsporpreliminary
83134
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →