Turkish Cup, round 3 · Thursday, 29 October, (UTC+3) · Prof. Dr. Fethi Heper Stadyumu
Eskişehirspor — Iğdır FK
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Iğdır FK to win (43%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 43% fails in about 57 matches out of 100 on average.
Iğdır FK are slightly stronger: 43% against 31%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Iğdır FK are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Eskişehirspor — Iğdır FK What is xG? | 1.2–1.5 | |
| Eskişehirspor not to lose | 57% | |
| Iğdır FK not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
181 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Eskişehirspor
- Eskişehirspor goals
- Iğdır FK goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Match events
- 96′Kerem Baykuş · Eskişehirspor1:0
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 05.03away · Bodrum FK0:0
- 03.02Antalyaspor6:0
- 15.01away · Eyüpspor1:2
- 24.12Aliağa2:2
- 04.12Orduspor 19673:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Turkish Cup on the same day
- 1421652The most likely outcome did not happen: 24:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 0:2.3.0
- 741791The most likely outcome came true: 15:0Final score 5:0. Model's score: 2:0.3.2
- 781571The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 3:0.3.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →