La Liga, round 12 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Espanyol — Deportivo A Coruña
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Espanyol are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 30%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Espanyol are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Espanyol are 97 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Espanyol — No. 14, 11 pts; Deportivo A Coruña — No. 8, 14 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Days of rest before the match: Espanyol 8, Deportivo A Coruña 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Espanyol — Deportivo A Coruña What is xG? | 1.4–1.2 | |
| Espanyol not to lose | 71% | |
| Deportivo A Coruña not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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- Handicap Espanyol
- Espanyol goals
- Deportivo A Coruña goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Espanyol | Deportivo A Coruña |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| xG per match | 1.18 | 1.72 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.39 | 0.97 |
| Shots | 12.2 | 15.2 |
| On target | 3.4 | 5.1 |
| Corners | 4.0 | 6.6 |
| Cards | 3.1 | 1.4 |
| Possession, % | 47 | 53 |
Form
- 30.10away · Villarreal1:0
- 27.10away · Sestao3:4
- 24.10away · Racing Santander1:2
- 17.10Atlético Madrid0:1
- 09.10away · Málaga1:1
- 02.11Osasuna2:1
- 29.10away · Auriense3:0
- 24.10away · Atlético Madrid0:1
- 16.10Levante1:1
- 11.10away · Real Sociedad2:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Athletic Club | 10 | 4 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 | Deportivo A Coruña | 11 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Getafe | 11 | 3 | -8 | 12 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3 | -11 | 11 |
La Liga on the same day
- 3828341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
- 2730432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
- 1021692The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →