Argentine Liga Profesional · Tuesday, 6 October, MSK · Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi
Estudiantes — Gimnasia Mendoza
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Estudiantes to win (52%), came true.
Estudiantes are clear favourites: 52% against 21% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Estudiantes are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Estudiantes — Gimnasia Mendoza What is xG? | 1.4–0.8 | |
| Estudiantes not to lose | 79% | |
| Gimnasia Mendoza not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Estudiantes
- Estudiantes goals
- Gimnasia Mendoza goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.10away · Club Atlético Platense0:1
- 22.09away · Lanús1:2
- 17.09away · Corinthians1:0
- 12.09Club Atlético Platense2:1
- 10.09Corinthians1:1
- 19.09Deportivo Riestra0:0
- 12.09away · Defensa y Justicia0:2
- 05.09Boca Juniors2:2
- 31.08away · Independiente3:0
- 22.08away · Gimnasia LP3:2
Head to head
- 18.03.2026Gimnasia Mendoza — Estudiantes1:2
Next matches
- Central Córdoba de SantiagoEstudiantes10 October · Liga Profesional323237XThe most likely outcome came true: X2:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 0:0.2.1
- Gimnasia MendozaNewell's Old Boys13 October · Liga Profesional4231271The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.1
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 5329181The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:0.2.0
- 2829432The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:1.2.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →