Turkish Super Lig, round 7 · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Esenyurt Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadyumu
Eyüpspor — Göztepe
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:4Came true
In short
Final score 0:4: the model's most likely outcome, Göztepe to win (46%), came true.
Göztepe are clear favourites: 46% against 26% for the opponent, draw 28%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Göztepe are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Eyüpspor — Göztepe What is xG? | 1.3–1.7 | |
| Eyüpspor not to lose | 54% | |
| Göztepe not to lose | 74% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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Form
- 20.09away · Fenerbahçe0:8
- 12.09Rizespor0:2
- 06.09away · Çorum FK0:3
- 30.08Alanyaspor2:1
- 23.08Gaziantep FK0:1
- 20.09Rizespor2:2
- 12.09away · Alanyaspor2:2
- 07.09Gaziantep FK2:4
- 29.08away · Galatasaray2:3
- 23.08Gençlerbirliği0:1
Head to head
- 28.02.2026Göztepe — Eyüpspor0:0
- 27.09.2025Eyüpspor — Göztepe0:0
- 16.03.2025Göztepe — Eyüpspor1:1
- 19.10.2024Eyüpspor — Göztepe1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Erzurumspor FK | 7 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
| 15 | Göztepe | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation | Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | -4 | 5 |
| 17, Relegation | Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | -9 | 4 |
| 18, Relegation | Eyüpspor | 7 | 1 | -18 | 3 |
Next matches
- Erzurumspor FKEyüpspor17 October · Super Lig4032281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- KocaelisporGöztepe18 October · Super Lig343134XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →