J1 League (Japan), round 10 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Fagiano Okayama FC — Vissel Kobe
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Vissel Kobe are slightly stronger: 40% against 30%, draw 29%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vissel Kobe are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Fagiano Okayama FC — Vissel Kobe What is xG? | 1.1–1.3 | |
| Fagiano Okayama FC not to lose | 60% | |
| Vissel Kobe not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Fagiano Okayama FC
- Fagiano Okayama FC goals
- Vissel Kobe goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Avispa Fukuoka1:2
- 19.09Kyoto Sanga FC1:2
- 13.09away · Urawa Red Diamonds2:1
- 06.09Sanfrecce Hiroshima3:2
- 02.09away · JEF United Chiba2:1
- 09.10away · Kashiwa Reysol2:4
- 20.09away · Gamba Osaka1:0
- 11.09Kashima Antlers2:1
- 06.09V-Varen Nagasaki3:1
- 02.09away · Tokyo Verdy2:0
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Vissel Kobe — Fagiano Okayama FC0:3
- 05.04.2026Fagiano Okayama FC — Vissel Kobe1:4
- 20.07.2025Fagiano Okayama FC — Vissel Kobe1:2
- 03.05.2025Vissel Kobe — Fagiano Okayama FC2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC Tokyo | 9 | 6 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 9 | 6 | +5 | 19 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 9 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 9 | 4 | -1 | 13 |
J1 League on the same day
- 5527181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →