Peruvian Liga 1 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
FC Cajamarca — CD UT Cajamarca
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Cajamarca are clear favourites: 63% against 16% for the opponent, draw 21%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Cajamarca are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Cajamarca — CD UT Cajamarca What is xG? | 2.4–1.2 | |
| FC Cajamarca not to lose | 84% | |
| CD UT Cajamarca not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 69% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 31% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Cajamarca
- FC Cajamarca goals
- CD UT Cajamarca goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Asociación Deportiva Tarma0:0
- 19.09Cusco FC1:2
- 12.09away · Los Chankas2:1
- 04.09Cienciano2:5
- 28.08away · Comerciantes Unidos3:2
- 11.10Sporting Cristal0:1
- 20.09away · Sport Huancayo2:3
- 11.09ADC Juan Pablo II1:2
- 04.09away · Alianza Atlético2:3
- 29.08Universitario de Deportes2:4
Head to head
- 08.05.2026CD UT Cajamarca — FC Cajamarca1:2
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- 5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
- Alianza AtléticoDeportivo Garcilasopreliminary4429281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →