UEFA Conference League, round 1 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Parken
FC København — Braga
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
FC København are clear favourites: 49% against 26% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC København are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC København — Braga What is xG? | 1.7–1.1 | |
| FC København not to lose | 74% | |
| Braga not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC København
- FC København goals
- Braga goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10away · FC Midtjylland1:2
- 20.09away · Brøndby IF1:0
- 11.09AC Horsens2:0
- 06.09away · OB5:0
- 03.09Nordsjælland2:0
- 09.10Sporting CP1:3
- 20.09away · Santa Clara0:0
- 14.09Estoril1:0
- 10.09away · Estrela da Amadora1:2
- 05.09away · Alverca2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Conference League on the same day
- 5225231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 7218111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.2
- 5624201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 1521642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →