UEFA Conference League, round 3 · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
FC København — Iberia 1999
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC København are clear favourites: 72% against 11% for the opponent, draw 18%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC København are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
- FC København are 293 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: FC København — No. 2, 3 pts; Iberia 1999 — No. 33, 0 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC København — Iberia 1999 What is xG? | 2.4–0.8 | |
| FC København not to lose | 89% | |
| Iberia 1999 not to lose | 28% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC København
- FC København goals
- Iberia 1999 goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 15.10Braga3:0
- 11.10away · FC Midtjylland1:2
- 20.09away · Brøndby IF1:0
- 11.09AC Horsens2:0
- 06.09away · OB5:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Straight to the round of 16 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 2, Straight to the round of 16 | FC København | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 3, Straight to the round of 16 | Trabzonspor | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 32 | Pafos FC | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 | Iberia 1999 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
| 34 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
Conference League on the same day
- AtalantaKairat Almatypreliminary801371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
- FC MidtjyllandAjaxpreliminary3926351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- FK Crvena ZvezdaInter Club d'Escaldespreliminary5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- KuPSGentpreliminary2023562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- Lincoln Red Imps FCHajduk Splitpreliminary3126432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- TrabzonsporFreiburgpreliminary4825271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- AGFBragapreliminary3526392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- ThunHeart of Midlothianpreliminary3326412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →