Ukrainian Premier League, round 8 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Stadion Kolos
FC Kolos Kovalivka — Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
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3:1Came true
In short
Final score 3:1: the model's most likely outcome, FC Kolos Kovalivka to win (44%), came true.
FC Kolos Kovalivka are slightly stronger: 44% against 25%, draw 32%.
The model expects few goals: 2.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 31%, both teams to score — 40%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Kolos Kovalivka — Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi What is xG? | 1.1–0.8 | |
| FC Kolos Kovalivka not to lose | 75% | |
| Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 40% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 60% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 31% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 69% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Kolos Kovalivka
- FC Kolos Kovalivka goals
- Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09away · Kudrivka3:2
- 11.09Karpaty0:2
- 05.09away · Kryvbas2:2
- 28.08Obolon Kyiv0:0
- 16.08away · Dynamo Kyiv1:2
- 19.09Liviy Bereh0:2
- 14.09away · Dynamo Kyiv0:3
- 06.09Bukovyna Chernivtsi0:0
- 29.08away · Kudrivka3:0
- 14.08Veres Rivne0:0
Head to head
- 07.03.2026Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi — FC Kolos Kovalivka4:0
- 30.08.2025FC Kolos Kovalivka — Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Veres Rivne | 8 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Kolos Kovalivka | 7 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 8 | 1 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 8 | 2 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Liviy Bereh | 7 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
Next matches
- Shakhtar DonetskFC Kolos Kovalivka17 October · Ukrainian Premier League781661The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- KarpatyEpitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi18 October · Ukrainian Premier League6224141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- 1526592The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:1.1.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →