Russian Premier League, round 13 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
FC Orenburg — CSKA Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: FC Orenburg 31%, CSKA Moscow 37%, draw 32%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings CSKA Moscow are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Orenburg — CSKA Moscow What is xG? | 1.3–1.4 | |
| FC Orenburg not to lose | 63% | |
| CSKA Moscow not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Orenburg
- FC Orenburg goals
- CSKA Moscow goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Dynamo Makhachkala4:0
- 17.09FC Krasnodar0:0
- 12.09away · Dinamo Moscow0:1
- 06.09Akron Togliatti2:2
- 02.09Rubin Kazan1:1
- 11.10Rodina3:0
- 17.09away · Dynamo Makhachkala3:1
- 12.09Rubin Kazan1:1
- 05.09away · Zenit St. Petersburg2:1
- 01.09away · FC Rostov0:2
Head to head
- 29.11.2025CSKA Moscow — FC Orenburg2:0
- 21.07.2025FC Orenburg — CSKA Moscow0:0
- 12.04.2025FC Orenburg — CSKA Moscow0:2
- 04.08.2024CSKA Moscow — FC Orenburg5:1
- 02.03.2024CSKA Moscow — FC Orenburg1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 10 | 6 | +9 | 22 |
| 2 | Dinamo Moscow | 10 | 7 | +7 | 22 |
| 6 | Baltika | 10 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 | FC Orenburg | 10 | 2 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 10 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
Russian Premier League on the same day
- Dynamo MakhachkalaFC Rostovpreliminary393427XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
- BaltikaAkron Togliattipreliminary6225131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- Lokomotiv MoscowSpartak Moscowpreliminary303238XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →