Eredivisie (Netherlands), round 11 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Feyenoord — Fortuna Sittard
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Feyenoord are clear favourites: 83% against 5% for the opponent, draw 11%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 72%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Feyenoord are about 1.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Feyenoord — Fortuna Sittard What is xG? | 2.9–0.8 | |
| Feyenoord not to lose | 95% | |
| Fortuna Sittard not to lose | 17% | |
| No draw | 89% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 72% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 28% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Feyenoord
- Feyenoord goals
- Fortuna Sittard goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10AZ Alkmaar2:0
- 20.09FC Utrecht5:0
- 13.09away · PEC Zwolle7:0
- 09.09away · Barcelona1:5
- 05.09away · NEC Nijmegen3:1
- 10.10FC Twente1:1
- 19.09away · Willem II1:0
- 12.09Ajax1:5
- 06.09away · ADO Den Haag3:2
- 28.08away · FC Groningen3:2
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Fortuna Sittard — Feyenoord1:2
- 17.09.2025Feyenoord — Fortuna Sittard2:0
- 12.04.2025Fortuna Sittard — Feyenoord0:2
- 30.11.2024Feyenoord — Fortuna Sittard1:1
- 14.04.2024Fortuna Sittard — Feyenoord0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | +20 | 20 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | +16 | 19 |
| 6 | FC Groningen | 8 | 4 | +6 | 14 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
Eredivisie on the same day
- SC HeerenveenNEC Nijmegenpreliminary4228301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- PSV EindhovenWillem IIpreliminary92621The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:04.6
- AjaxAZ Alkmaarpreliminary4428281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- CambuurGo Ahead Eaglespreliminary3427392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 2:33.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 83% will not happen in roughly 17 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →