UEFA Conference League, round 3 · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
FK Crvena Zvezda — Inter Club d'Escaldes
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FK Crvena Zvezda are clear favourites: 57% against 20% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FK Crvena Zvezda are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- FK Crvena Zvezda are 186 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: FK Crvena Zvezda — No. 23, 0 pts; Inter Club d'Escaldes — No. 34, 0 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FK Crvena Zvezda — Inter Club d'Escaldes What is xG? | 1.9–1.0 | |
| FK Crvena Zvezda not to lose | 80% | |
| Inter Club d'Escaldes not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FK Crvena Zvezda
- FK Crvena Zvezda goals
- Inter Club d'Escaldes goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 15.10away · Lugano2:3
- 26.02Lille0:2
- 19.02away · Lille1:0
- 29.01Celta Vigo1:1
- 22.01away · Malmö FF1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Egnatia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 23, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 24, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Jablonec | 1 | 0 | -1 | 0 |
| 33 | Iberia 1999 | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
| 34 | Inter Club d'Escaldes | 1 | 0 | -2 | 0 |
| 35 | Braga | 1 | 0 | -3 | 0 |
Conference League on the same day
- AtalantaKairat Almatypreliminary801371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
- FC MidtjyllandAjaxpreliminary3926351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- KuPSGentpreliminary2023562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- Lincoln Red Imps FCHajduk Splitpreliminary3126432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- TrabzonsporFreiburgpreliminary4825271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- AGFBragapreliminary3526392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- ThunHeart of Midlothianpreliminary3326412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- MjällbyBorac Banja Lukapreliminary5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →