UEFA Conference League, round 2 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK

FK Kauno Žalgiris — Brann

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Model prediction for 22 October

FK Kauno Žalgiris34%
Draw27%
Brann40%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: FK Kauno Žalgiris 34%, Brann 40%, draw 27%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Brann are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: FK Kauno Žalgiris — Brann What is xG?1.3–1.4
FK Kauno Žalgiris not to lose60%
Brann not to lose66%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes57%
Both teams to score: no43%
Total over 2.553%
Total under 2.547%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap FK Kauno Žalgiris
  • FK Kauno Žalgiris goals
  • Brann goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

FK Kauno Žalgiris

No past matches in the data yet.

Brann

  • 09.10Viking0:2
  • 20.09Bodø/Glimt2:1
  • 13.09away · Start0:2
  • 05.09Lillestrøm1:2
  • 30.08away · Sandefjord0:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Conference League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →