Swedish Allsvenskan, round 29 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
GAIS — Västerås SK
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
GAIS are slightly stronger: 45% against 28%, draw 27%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings GAIS are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- GAIS are 82 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: GAIS — No. 10, 37 pts; Västerås SK — No. 6, 44 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Last 3 meetings: GAIS 3 wins, Västerås SK 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: GAIS — Västerås SK What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| GAIS not to lose | 72% | |
| Västerås SK not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap GAIS
- GAIS goals
- Västerås SK goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | GAIS | Västerås SK |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| xG per match | 1.16 | 1.25 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.57 | 1.18 |
| Shots | 12.8 | 15.2 |
| On target | 3.7 | 5.3 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 5.6 |
| Cards | 2.5 | 1.4 |
| Possession, % | 48 | 49 |
Form
- 01.11Brommapojkarna1:0
- 28.10away · Degerfors3:0
- 23.10Halmstads BK1:2
- 18.10Mjällby1:0
- 09.10away · IFK Göteborg0:1
Head to head
- 09.05.2026Västerås SK — GAIS0:1
- 14.09.2024Västerås SK — GAIS2:3
- 11.05.2024GAIS — Västerås SK2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Elfsborg | 27 | 12 | +14 | 46 |
| 6 | Västerås SK | 27 | 13 | +2 | 44 |
| 7 | Malmö FF | 27 | 12 | +6 | 40 |
| 9 | IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10 | -10 | 38 |
| 10 | GAIS | 27 | 10 | +7 | 37 |
| 11 | Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9 | -5 | 34 |
Allsvenskan on the same day
- AIKDegerforspreliminary5225221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- MjällbyMalmö FFpreliminary3628351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →