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Swedish Allsvenskan, round 29 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)

Mjällby — Malmö FF

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Model prediction for 21 November

Mjällby36%
Draw28%
Malmö FF35%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Mjällby 36%, Malmö FF 35%, draw 28%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 61%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Malmö FF are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Mjällby — No. 12, 27 pts; Malmö FF — No. 7, 40 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Mjällby 3 wins, Malmö FF 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Mjällby — Malmö FF What is xG?1.4–1.4
Mjällby not to lose65%
Malmö FF not to lose64%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes61%
Both teams to score: no39%
Total over 2.556%
Total under 2.544%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Mjällby
  • Mjällby goals
  • Malmö FF goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatMjällbyMalmö FF
Goals scored per match0.81.0
Goals conceded per match1.10.9
xG per match1.141.27
Opponents’ xG1.241.22
Shots13.516.2
On target4.75.6
Corners5.55.5
Cards2.22.1
Possession, %4756

Averages per match: Mjällby — the last 10, Malmö FF — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Mjällby

  • 02.11Kalmar FF0:0
  • 29.10away · Örgryte2:1
  • 25.10Hammarby0:2
  • 22.10away · Iberia 19991:1
  • 18.10away · Västerås SK0:1

Malmö FF

  • 01.11Hammarby1:2
  • 28.10away · Halmstads BK3:0
  • 23.10away · Elfsborg0:0
  • 18.10Häcken0:1
  • 12.10Kalmar FF1:0

Head to head

  • 03.05.2026Malmö FF — Mjällby2:3
  • 09.08.2025Malmö FF — Mjällby1:3
  • 30.06.2025Mjällby — Malmö FF1:1
  • 29.09.2024Malmö FF — Mjällby2:0
  • 13.07.2024Mjällby — Malmö FF2:1

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6Västerås SK27135940–38+244
7Malmö FF271241142–36+640
8AIK27108943–47-438
11Brommapojkarna27971139–44-534
12Mjällby27691230–43-1327
13Kalmar FF27651623–42-1923

Season 2026

Full table

Allsvenskan on the same day

  • AIKDegerforspreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
  • GAISVästerås SKpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →