Turkish Super Lig, round 11 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Galatasaray — Amed Sportif
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Galatasaray are clear favourites: 71% against 11% for the opponent, draw 18%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Galatasaray are about 1.6 goals per match stronger.
- Galatasaray are 250 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Galatasaray — No. 1, 25 pts; Amed Sportif — No. 2, 23 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Galatasaray: 5 wins in a row; Amed Sportif: 3 wins in a row.
- Days of rest before the match: Galatasaray 4, Amed Sportif 6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Galatasaray — Amed Sportif What is xG? | 2.2–1.0 | |
| Galatasaray not to lose | 89% | |
| Amed Sportif not to lose | 29% | |
| No draw | 82% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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- Handicap Galatasaray
- Galatasaray goals
- Amed Sportif goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Galatasaray | Amed Sportif |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| xG per match | 1.67 | 2.16 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.45 | 0.86 |
| Shots | 16.1 | 16.2 |
| On target | 5.7 | 5.2 |
| Corners | 7.2 | 5.1 |
| Cards | 2.1 | 2.9 |
| Possession, % | 55 | 48 |
Form
- 03.11VfB Stuttgart2:0
- 30.10away · Konyaspor4:0
- 26.10Fenerbahçe2:1
- 21.10away · Lille4:2
- 17.10away · Gençlerbirliği1:0
- 01.11Eyüpspor5:1
- 24.10away · Samsunspor2:1
- 17.10Konyaspor1:0
- 10.10away · Gençlerbirliği2:2
- 20.09Beşiktaş3:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Galatasaray | 10 | 8 | +11 | 25 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Amed Sportif | 10 | 7 | +14 | 23 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Trabzonspor | 10 | 7 | +16 | 22 |
Super Lig on the same day
- 2731422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.3
- 4129311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- 5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →