Turkish Super Lig, round 11 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Samsunspor — Konyaspor
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Samsunspor are slightly stronger: 41% against 31%, draw 29%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Samsunspor are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Samsunspor — No. 17, 4 pts; Konyaspor — No. 15, 8 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Samsunspor: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Samsunspor 2 wins, Konyaspor 2, 1 draw.
- Days of rest before the match: Samsunspor 6, Konyaspor 8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Samsunspor — Konyaspor What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Samsunspor not to lose | 69% | |
| Konyaspor not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Samsunspor | Konyaspor |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.6 | 1.3 |
| xG per match | 1.14 | 1.11 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.95 | 1.33 |
| Shots | 13.3 | 10.8 |
| On target | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 3.2 |
| Cards | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| Possession, % | 54 | 49 |
Form
- 01.11away · Başakşehir2:5
- 24.10Amed Sportif1:2
- 18.10away · Kasımpaşa1:4
- 10.10Trabzonspor0:3
- 20.09away · Erzurumspor FK0:1
- 30.10Galatasaray0:4
- 25.10Gençlerbirliği2:0
- 17.10away · Amed Sportif0:1
- 11.10Başakşehir0:0
- 18.09away · Kasımpaşa0:0
Head to head
- 05.04.2026Samsunspor — Konyaspor2:2
- 02.11.2025Konyaspor — Samsunspor1:3
- 16.02.2025Konyaspor — Samsunspor0:1
- 14.09.2024Samsunspor — Konyaspor0:1
- 12.05.2024Konyaspor — Samsunspor3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Gençlerbirliği | 10 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 | Konyaspor | 10 | 2 | -7 | 8 |
| 16, Relegation | Gaziantep FK | 10 | 2 | -8 | 8 |
| 17, Relegation | Samsunspor | 10 | 1 | -16 | 4 |
| 18, Relegation | Eyüpspor | 10 | 1 | -25 | 3 |
Super Lig on the same day
- 2731422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.3
- 5226221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- 7118111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →