Turkish Super Lig, round 9 · Monday, 26 October, MSK
Galatasaray — Fenerbahçe
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 26 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Galatasaray are clear favourites: 50% against 25% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Galatasaray are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Galatasaray — Fenerbahçe What is xG? | 2.0–1.4 | |
| Galatasaray not to lose | 75% | |
| Fenerbahçe not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Galatasaray
- Galatasaray goals
- Fenerbahçe goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 13.10Barcelona1:4
- 09.10Kasımpaşa3:1
- 19.09away · Trabzonspor0:4
- 13.09Kocaelispor1:0
- 09.09away · Sporting CP1:3
- 10.10away · Rizespor3:0
- 20.09Eyüpspor8:0
- 14.09away · Gaziantep FK0:0
- 10.09Roma1:1
- 05.09Beşiktaş1:2
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Galatasaray — Fenerbahçe3:0
- 01.12.2025Fenerbahçe — Galatasaray1:1
- 02.04.2025Fenerbahçe — Galatasaray1:2
- 24.02.2025Galatasaray — Fenerbahçe0:0
- 21.09.2024Fenerbahçe — Galatasaray1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | +5 | 16 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Beşiktaş | 7 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Amed Sportif | 7 | 4 | +8 | 14 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Fenerbahçe | 7 | 4 | +13 | 13 |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | +11 | 13 |
Super Lig on the same day
- RizesporTrabzonsporpreliminary3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- BeşiktaşBaşakşehirpreliminary6122171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →