Turkish Super Lig, round 7 · Friday, 9 October, MSK · RAMS Park
Galatasaray — Kasımpaşa
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:1Came true
In short
Final score 3:1: the model's most likely outcome, Galatasaray to win (78%), came true.
Galatasaray are clear favourites: 78% against 7% for the opponent, draw 15%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Galatasaray are about 1.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Galatasaray — Kasımpaşa What is xG? | 2.3–0.7 | |
| Galatasaray not to lose | 93% | |
| Kasımpaşa not to lose | 22% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Galatasaray
- Galatasaray goals
- Kasımpaşa goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 19.09away · Trabzonspor0:4
- 13.09Kocaelispor1:0
- 09.09away · Sporting CP1:3
- 04.09away · Başakşehir3:2
- 29.08Göztepe3:2
- 18.09Konyaspor0:0
- 13.09away · Gençlerbirliği2:1
- 06.09Amed Sportif2:2
- 30.08away · Başakşehir1:1
- 22.08away · Çorum FK1:0
Head to head
- 17.05.2026Kasımpaşa — Galatasaray1:0
- 21.12.2025Galatasaray — Kasımpaşa3:0
- 02.03.2025Kasımpaşa — Galatasaray3:3
- 28.09.2024Galatasaray — Kasımpaşa3:3
- 17.03.2024Kasımpaşa — Galatasaray3:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | +5 | 16 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Beşiktaş | 7 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 8 | Çorum FK | 7 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 9 | Kasımpaşa | 7 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 7 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
Next matches
- GalatasarayBarcelona13 October · Champions League2425512The most likely outcome came true: 21:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
- KasımpaşaSamsunspor18 October · Super Lig4130281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 78% will not happen in roughly 22 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →