UEFA Champions League, round 4 · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK
Galatasaray — VfB Stuttgart
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Galatasaray are clear favourites: 47% against 27% for the opponent, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Galatasaray are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Galatasaray — VfB Stuttgart What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Galatasaray not to lose | 73% | |
| VfB Stuttgart not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Galatasaray
- Galatasaray goals
- VfB Stuttgart goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 13.10Barcelona1:4
- 09.10Kasımpaşa3:1
- 19.09away · Trabzonspor0:4
- 13.09Kocaelispor1:0
- 09.09away · Sporting CP1:3
- 10.10away · Paderborn2:0
- 19.09Borussia Dortmund0:1
- 12.09away · Hoffenheim1:2
- 09.09Viking3:1
- 04.091. FC Köln4:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Straight to the round of 16 | Manchester United | 2 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 8, Straight to the round of 16 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 9, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Manchester City | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 33 | Feyenoord | 1 | 0 | -4 | 0 |
| 34 | Galatasaray | 2 | 0 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | -5 | 0 |
Champions League on the same day
- Shakhtar DonetskSporting CPpreliminary4026341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- BarcelonaAston Villapreliminary761681The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- Atlético MadridBayern Münchenpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.0
- Manchester UnitedRomapreliminary4126331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- FeyenoordInterpreliminary2726472The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- Bodø/GlimtLillepreliminary7118111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- VillarrealParis Saint-Germainpreliminary1923572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- LASKSlovan Bratislavapreliminary7218111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →