K League 1 (South Korea), round 36 · Saturday, 21 November, 10:30 (UTC+3)

Gangwon FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen

Model prediction for 21 November

Gangwon FC31%

Draw31%

Daejeon Hana Citizen38%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Gangwon FC 31%, Daejeon Hana Citizen 38%, draw 31%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
In recent matches the betting market rated Daejeon Hana Citizen higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.

Facts

League table: Gangwon FC — No. 6, 48 pts; Daejeon Hana Citizen — No. 3, 50 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
Daejeon Hana Citizen: unbeaten in 5.
Last 5 meetings: Gangwon FC 2 wins, Daejeon Hana Citizen 1, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Gangwon FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen What is xG?		1.2–1.3
Gangwon FC not to lose		62%
Daejeon Hana Citizen not to lose		69%
No draw		69%
Both teams to score: yes		53%
Both teams to score: no		47%
Total over 2.5		45%
Total under 2.5		55%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Gangwon FC
Gangwon FC goals
Daejeon Hana Citizen goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Gangwon FC	Daejeon Hana Citizen
Goals scored per match	1.1	2.1
Goals conceded per match	0.8	1.3
xG per match	0.72	1.17
Opponents’ xG	0.51	0.58
Shots	11.7	13.3
On target	4.5	5.1
Corners	4.8	5.8
Cards	1.5	1.3
Possession, %	53	56

Averages per match: Gangwon FC — the last 10, Daejeon Hana Citizen — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Gangwon FC

01.11away · Ulsan HD FC1:2
24.10away · FC Seoul1:1
18.10Incheon United1:1
09.10Bucheon FC 19952:0
27.09Incheon United0:0

Daejeon Hana Citizen

31.10away · Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC0:0
24.10away · Gimcheon Sangmu2:1
18.10Gwangju FC3:2
09.10Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC2:1
20.09away · Incheon United1:1

Head to head

23.08.2026Daejeon Hana Citizen — Gangwon FC3:0
12.05.2026Gangwon FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen2:0
12.04.2026Daejeon Hana Citizen — Gangwon FC0:2
22.11.2025Daejeon Hana Citizen — Gangwon FC1:1
27.09.2025Gangwon FC — Daejeon Hana Citizen0:0

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
2, Championship round	Ulsan HD FC	34	16	6	12	54–48	+6	54
3, Championship round	Daejeon Hana Citizen	34	13	11	10	53–41	+12	50
4, Championship round	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC	34	12	13	9	43–33	+10	49
5, Championship round	Incheon United	34	13	10	11	44–35	+9	49
6, Championship round	Gangwon FC	34	11	15	8	41–32	+9	48
7, Relegation round	Jeju SK	34	12	11	11	40–38	+2	47

Season 2026

Full table

K League 1 on the same day

08:00
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FCFC Seoulpreliminary
343035
XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
08:00
Pohang SteelersFC Anyangpreliminary
403129
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
10:30
Incheon UnitedUlsan HD FCpreliminary
383132
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →