K League 1 (South Korea), round 36 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Pohang Steelers — FC Anyang
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Pohang Steelers are slightly stronger: 40% against 29%, draw 31%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Pohang Steelers are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Pohang Steelers are 61 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Pohang Steelers — No. 9, 43 pts; FC Anyang — No. 8, 46 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Pohang Steelers: winless in 4; FC Anyang: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Pohang Steelers 3 wins, FC Anyang 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pohang Steelers — FC Anyang What is xG? | 1.3–1.1 | |
| Pohang Steelers not to lose | 71% | |
| FC Anyang not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Pohang Steelers
- Pohang Steelers goals
- FC Anyang goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Pohang Steelers | FC Anyang |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| xG per match | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.67 | 0.87 |
| Shots | 10.0 | 12.1 |
| On target | 3.3 | 4.3 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 3.0 |
| Cards | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Possession, % | 46 | 47 |
Form
- 01.11Jeju SK1:1
- 24.10away · Ulsan HD FC2:2
- 18.10FC Anyang0:0
- 09.10away · Incheon United0:3
- 20.09FC Seoul2:1
- 01.11Bucheon FC 19952:1
- 24.10Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC1:1
- 18.10away · Pohang Steelers0:0
- 10.10away · Gimcheon Sangmu1:0
- 19.09Ulsan HD FC2:1
Head to head
- 18.10.2026Pohang Steelers — FC Anyang0:0
- 04.07.2026FC Anyang — Pohang Steelers2:3
- 19.04.2026Pohang Steelers — FC Anyang0:1
- 15.08.2025FC Anyang — Pohang Steelers0:1
- 23.05.2025FC Anyang — Pohang Steelers0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Relegation round | Jeju SK | 34 | 12 | +2 | 47 |
| 8, Relegation round | FC Anyang | 34 | 11 | -7 | 46 |
| 9, Relegation round | Pohang Steelers | 34 | 11 | -9 | 43 |
| 10, Relegation round | Gimcheon Sangmu | 34 | 5 | -8 | 35 |
K League 1 on the same day
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FCFC Seoulpreliminary343035XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
- Gangwon FCDaejeon Hana Citizenpreliminary3131382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.5
- Incheon UnitedUlsan HD FCpreliminary3831321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →