Tanzania Premier League, round 9 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)
Geita Gold FC — Fountain Gate FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Geita Gold FC to win (54%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 54% fails in about 46 matches out of 100 on average.
Geita Gold FC are clear favourites: 54% against 20% for the opponent, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 2.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Geita Gold FC are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Geita Gold FC are 81 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Geita Gold FC: 4 defeats in a row; Fountain Gate FC: winless in 5.
- Last 2 meetings: Geita Gold FC 1 win, Fountain Gate FC 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Geita Gold FC — Fountain Gate FC What is xG? | 1.7–0.9 | |
| Geita Gold FC not to lose | 80% | |
| Fountain Gate FC not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
91 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Geita Gold FC
- Geita Gold FC goals
- Fountain Gate FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 16.10Dodoma Jiji FC0:3
- 08.10away · Pamba Jiji0:4
- 15.09away · Young Africans0:1
- 31.08away · Simba SC0:2
- 28.08Azam FC2:2
- 16.10Pamba Jiji1:1
- 09.10JKT Tanzania1:2
- 13.09away · Kagera Sugar1:1
- 31.08Young Africans0:2
- 28.08Mbeya City0:2
Head to head
- 25.05.2024Fountain Gate FC — Geita Gold FC2:1
- 21.12.2023Geita Gold FC — Fountain Gate FC1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | TRA United | 10 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Geita Gold FC | 11 | 2 | -7 | 9 |
| 14 | Pamba Jiji | 11 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Fountain Gate FC | 11 | 1 | -10 | 6 |
| 16 | Kagera Sugar | 11 | 1 | -13 | 6 |
Next matches
- TRA UnitedGeita Gold FC29 October · Tanzania Premier League5727161The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.4
- Fountain Gate FCSimba SC29 October · Tanzania Premier League516802The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →