UEFA Conference League, round 3 · Thursday, 5 November, (UTC+3)
Getafe — Brighton & Hove Albion
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 5 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Brighton & Hove Albion are clear favourites: 59% against 19% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- Brighton & Hove Albion's starting XI is worth €216m, Getafe's €37m (Transfermarkt).
- By the strength ratings Brighton & Hove Albion are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Getafe — No. 21, 1 pt; Brighton & Hove Albion — No. 1, 3 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Brighton & Hove Albion: 5 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Getafe — Brighton & Hove Albion What is xG? | 1.0–2.0 | |
| Getafe not to lose | 41% | |
| Brighton & Hove Albion not to lose | 81% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Getafe
- Getafe goals
- Brighton & Hove Albion goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 15.10away · Universitatea Craiova1:1
- 10.10away · Barcelona0:3
- 20.09Málaga1:0
- 17.09away · Real Betis0:1
- 13.09Deportivo A Coruña1:1
- 15.10FK Kauno Žalgiris4:0
- 10.10away · Sunderland2:0
- 19.09Arsenal3:0
- 16.09away · Manchester United3:2
- 13.09away · Coventry City5:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Straight to the round of 16 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 1 | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 2, Straight to the round of 16 | FC København | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 20, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Heart of Midlothian | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Getafe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 22, Knockout play-off for the round of 16 | Egnatia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Conference League on the same day
- AtalantaKairat Almatypreliminary801371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
- FC MidtjyllandAjaxpreliminary3926351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- FK Crvena ZvezdaInter Club d'Escaldespreliminary5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- KuPSGentpreliminary2023562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
- Lincoln Red Imps FCHajduk Splitpreliminary3126432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- TrabzonsporFreiburgpreliminary4825271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- AGFBragapreliminary3526392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- ThunHeart of Midlothianpreliminary3326412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →