Eredivisie (Netherlands), round 8 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · De Adelaarshorst
Go Ahead Eagles — Sparta Rotterdam
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 3:3: the model's most likely outcome, Go Ahead Eagles to win (52%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 52% fails in about 48 matches out of 100 on average.
Go Ahead Eagles are clear favourites: 52% against 22% for the opponent, draw 26%.
3.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 70%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Go Ahead Eagles are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Go Ahead Eagles — Sparta Rotterdam What is xG? | 2.1–1.4 | |
| Go Ahead Eagles not to lose | 78% | |
| Sparta Rotterdam not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 30% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 69% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 31% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Go Ahead Eagles
- Go Ahead Eagles goals
- Sparta Rotterdam goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 20.09away · NEC Nijmegen1:1
- 12.09FC Groningen1:1
- 08.09away · FC Utrecht3:3
- 29.08away · AZ Alkmaar2:5
- 23.08ADO Den Haag3:1
- 19.09SC Heerenveen0:4
- 13.09away · PSV Eindhoven1:4
- 04.09PEC Zwolle2:2
- 29.08away · Excelsior1:2
- 22.08FC Utrecht3:3
Head to head
- 03.05.2026Sparta Rotterdam — Go Ahead Eagles2:2
- 23.08.2025Go Ahead Eagles — Sparta Rotterdam0:3
- 14.02.2025Go Ahead Eagles — Sparta Rotterdam1:0
- 15.09.2024Sparta Rotterdam — Go Ahead Eagles1:2
- 21.01.2024Sparta Rotterdam — Go Ahead Eagles0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 8 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Excelsior | 8 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Utrecht | 8 | 2 | -11 | 8 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
Next matches
- Sparta RotterdamWillem II17 October · Eredivisie6222151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- PEC ZwolleGo Ahead Eagles18 October · Eredivisie3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.3
Eredivisie on the same day
- 5624201The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 3:1.3.3
- 1827552The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:2.3.0
- 6321161The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:1.3.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →