Polish Ekstraklasa, round 14 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Górnik Zabrze — Wieczysta Kraków
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In short
Górnik Zabrze are clear favourites: 62% against 15% for the opponent, draw 23%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Górnik Zabrze are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Górnik Zabrze are 317 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Górnik Zabrze — No. 2, 28 pts; Wieczysta Kraków — No. 18, 8 pts. A gap of 20 pts.
- Górnik Zabrze: unbeaten in 5; Wieczysta Kraków: 4 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Górnik Zabrze — Wieczysta Kraków What is xG? | 2.0–1.0 | |
| Górnik Zabrze not to lose | 85% | |
| Wieczysta Kraków not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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- Handicap Górnik Zabrze
- Górnik Zabrze goals
- Wieczysta Kraków goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Górnik Zabrze | Wieczysta Kraków |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.9 |
| xG per match | 1.91 | 1.77 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.70 | 1.96 |
| Shots | 16.4 | 16.3 |
| On target | 4.6 | 4.7 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 6.6 |
| Cards | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Possession, % | 48 | 57 |
Form
- 30.10Legia Warszawa0:0
- 23.10away · Widzew Łódź1:1
- 18.10Piast Gliwice1:1
- 10.10away · Jagiellonia Białystok3:1
- 19.09away · Motor Lublin0:0
- 31.10Jagiellonia Białystok1:3
- 25.10away · Śląsk Wrocław0:2
- 16.10Raków Częstochowa1:2
- 12.10away · GKS Katowice1:2
- 09.10Wisła Płock3:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Lech Poznań | 12 | 10 | +21 | 31 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Górnik Zabrze | 13 | 8 | +10 | 28 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Legia Warszawa | 13 | 6 | +12 | 24 |
| 17, Relegation | Raków Częstochowa | 13 | 3 | -10 | 9 |
| 18, Relegation | Wieczysta Kraków | 13 | 2 | -9 | 8 |
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- 5427201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 3628361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- 4030291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →