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Polish Ekstraklasa, round 14 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

Śląsk Wrocław — Piast Gliwice

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Model prediction for 7 November

Śląsk Wrocław36%
Draw28%
Piast Gliwice36%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Evenly matched: Śląsk Wrocław 36%, Piast Gliwice 36%, draw 28%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.

Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 66%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • League table: Śląsk Wrocław — No. 16, 9 pts; Piast Gliwice — No. 7, 21 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
  • Piast Gliwice: unbeaten in 4.
  • Last 5 meetings: Śląsk Wrocław 1 win, Piast Gliwice 3, 1 draw.
  • Days of rest before the match: Śląsk Wrocław 5, Piast Gliwice 7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Śląsk Wrocław — Piast Gliwice What is xG?1.6–1.6
Śląsk Wrocław not to lose64%
Piast Gliwice not to lose64%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes66%
Both teams to score: no34%
Total over 2.561%
Total under 2.539%

Model vs market

The model agrees with the market: no outcome differs by more than 2 points.

  • Śląsk Wrocław to winModel36%odds 2.78Market37%odds 2.72
  • DrawModel28%odds 3.57Market26%odds 3.82
  • Piast Gliwice to winModel36%odds 2.78Market37%odds 2.69
  • Total over 2.5Model61%odds 1.64Market59%odds 1.69
  • Total under 2.5Model39%odds 2.56Market41%odds 2.45

Check your odds

Market — the probabilities in the bookmakers’ odds with their margin removed; odds — the fair price, 1 / probability. A comparison of two estimates, not betting advice.

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatŚląsk WrocławPiast Gliwice
Goals scored per match1.42.0
Goals conceded per match2.21.2
xG per match1.611.33
Opponents’ xG2.141.88
Shots11.214.3
On target4.05.1
Corners4.03.7
Cards2.31.8
Possession, %4656

Averages per match: Śląsk Wrocław — the last 10, Piast Gliwice — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Śląsk Wrocław

  • 02.11away · Radomiak Radom1:3
  • 25.10Wieczysta Kraków2:0
  • 17.10away · Motor Lublin2:3
  • 10.10Lech Poznań1:4
  • 18.09away · Wisła Kraków1:2

Piast Gliwice

  • 31.10away · Wisła Płock2:2
  • 24.10Cracovia3:1
  • 18.10away · Górnik Zabrze1:1
  • 11.10Widzew Łódź2:1
  • 20.09Pogoń Szczecin1:2

Head to head

  • 03.02.2025Śląsk Wrocław — Piast Gliwice1:3
  • 28.07.2024Piast Gliwice — Śląsk Wrocław2:0
  • 30.03.2024Piast Gliwice — Śląsk Wrocław2:2
  • 23.09.2023Śląsk Wrocław — Piast Gliwice1:0
  • 06.04.2023Śląsk Wrocław — Piast Gliwice0:1

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6GKS Katowice1370625–19+621
7Piast Gliwice1363424–20+421
8Wisła Kraków1363420–18+221
15Radomiak Radom1332815–29-1411
16, RelegationŚląsk Wrocław1323817–25-89
17, RelegationRaków Częstochowa13301019–29-109

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ekstraklasa on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →