Hellas Verona — Catanzaro
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Hellas Verona are clear favourites: 48% against 26% for the opponent, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hellas Verona — Catanzaro What is xG? | 1.9–1.4 | |
| Hellas Verona not to lose | 74% | |
| Catanzaro not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Hellas Verona
- Hellas Verona goals
- Catanzaro goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · Modena2:3
- 20.09LR Vicenza2:1
- 11.09away · Benevento1:3
- 06.09Arezzo5:0
- 03.09away · Cagliari2:1
- 11.10Mantova1:3
- 19.09away · Sampdoria1:2
- 12.09Carrarese1:0
- 05.09away · Südtirol0:2
- 30.08away · Pisa1:2
Head to head
- 14.08.2021Hellas Verona — Catanzaro3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Benevento | 6 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 10 | Cesena | 6 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 19, Relegation | Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | -7 | 4 |
| 20, Relegation | Catanzaro | 6 | 1 | -6 | 3 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →