Serie B, round 7 · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Hellas Verona — Catanzaro

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Model prediction for 16 October

Hellas Verona48%
Draw26%
Catanzaro26%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Hellas Verona are clear favourites: 48% against 26% for the opponent, draw 26%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.

Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 66%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Hellas Verona — Catanzaro What is xG?1.9–1.4
Hellas Verona not to lose74%
Catanzaro not to lose52%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes66%
Both teams to score: no34%
Total over 2.564%
Total under 2.536%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Hellas Verona
  • Hellas Verona goals
  • Catanzaro goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Hellas Verona

  • 11.10away · Modena2:3
  • 20.09LR Vicenza2:1
  • 11.09away · Benevento1:3
  • 06.09Arezzo5:0
  • 03.09away · Cagliari2:1

Catanzaro

  • 11.10Mantova1:3
  • 19.09away · Sampdoria1:2
  • 12.09Carrarese1:0
  • 05.09away · Südtirol0:2
  • 30.08away · Pisa1:2

Head to head

  • 14.08.2021Hellas Verona — Catanzaro3:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
8, Promotion play-offsBenevento63128–5+310
9Hellas Verona621312–10+27
10Cesena61417–8-17
19, RelegationSampdoria61146–13-74
20, RelegationCatanzaro61056–12-63

Season 2026/27

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →