Chilean Liga de Primera, round 24 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero
Huachipato — O'Higgins
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:0Came true
In short
Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Huachipato to win (43%), came true.
Huachipato are slightly stronger: 43% against 30%, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Huachipato — O'Higgins What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Huachipato not to lose | 70% | |
| O'Higgins not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Huachipato
- Huachipato goals
- O'Higgins goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 03.10away · Universidad de Concepción2:0
- 17.09away · Coquimbo Unido1:0
- 06.09Colo Colo0:0
- 23.08Deportes Limache1:3
- 18.08away · Palestino1:5
- 14.09away · Audax Italiano0:1
- 06.09Unión La Calera2:1
- 01.09away · Universidad Católica2:3
- 24.08Palestino0:1
- 17.08away · Colo Colo2:2
Head to head
- 11.04.2026O'Higgins — Huachipato0:2
- 22.07.2025Huachipato — O'Higgins2:1
- 16.02.2025O'Higgins — Huachipato0:0
- 08.09.2024Huachipato — O'Higgins1:0
- 14.04.2024O'Higgins — Huachipato0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 24 | 10 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 24 | 10 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 24 | 9 | +2 | 32 |
| 12 | Audax Italiano | 23 | 7 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | O'Higgins | 24 | 8 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 24 | 7 | -10 | 25 |
Next matches
- Audax ItalianoHuachipato24 October · Chilean Primera · preliminary4526291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- O'HigginsCobresal25 October · Chilean Primera · preliminary4825281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
Chilean Primera on the same day
- 6221171The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →