Argentine Liga Profesional · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK

Independiente Rivadavia — Banfield

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Model prediction for 3 November

Independiente Rivadavia57%
Draw25%
Banfield18%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Independiente Rivadavia are clear favourites: 57% against 18% for the opponent, draw 25%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.1.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Independiente Rivadavia are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Independiente Rivadavia — Banfield What is xG?1.8–1.0
Independiente Rivadavia not to lose82%
Banfield not to lose43%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Independiente Rivadavia
  • Independiente Rivadavia goals
  • Banfield goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Independiente Rivadavia

  • 11.10away · Rosario Central0:5
  • 03.10Gimnasia LP1:1
  • 22.09away · Barracas Central1:0
  • 17.09Atlético Tucumán1:1
  • 12.09Aldosivi4:3

Banfield

  • 11.10away · Tigre2:1
  • 06.10Rosario Central1:1
  • 19.09away · Gimnasia LP2:2
  • 15.09Barracas Central1:1
  • 10.09away · Deportivo Riestra1:1

Head to head

  • 20.04.2026Banfield — Independiente Rivadavia0:0
  • 18.10.2025Independiente Rivadavia — Banfield1:2
  • 12.04.2025Banfield — Independiente Rivadavia1:1
  • 24.09.2024Banfield — Independiente Rivadavia2:0
  • 30.05.2024Independiente Rivadavia — Banfield1:2

Full record: 5 meetings →

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →