Turkish Cup, round 3 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

İnegöl Kafkas — Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor

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Model prediction for 27 October

İnegöl Kafkas36%
Draw27%
Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor38%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: İnegöl Kafkas 36%, Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor 38%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: İnegöl Kafkas — Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor What is xG?1.4–1.4
İnegöl Kafkas not to lose62%
Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor not to lose64%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes57%
Both teams to score: no43%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap İnegöl Kafkas
  • İnegöl Kafkas goals
  • Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

İnegöl Kafkas

  • 30.10Hatayspor0:4

Kahramanmaras Istiklalspor

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Turkish Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →