Turkish Cup, round 3 · Wednesday, 28 October, (UTC+3) · Kars Şehir Stadyumu
Kars 36 Spor — Antalyaspor
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0:2Came true
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Antalyaspor to win (57%), came true.
Antalyaspor are clear favourites: 57% against 20% for the opponent, draw 24%.
The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Antalyaspor are 179 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kars 36 Spor — Antalyaspor What is xG? | 1.0–1.9 | |
| Kars 36 Spor not to lose | 43% | |
| Antalyaspor not to lose | 80% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kars 36 Spor
- Kars 36 Spor goals
- Antalyaspor goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Match events
- 5′Dario Šarić · Antalyaspor0:1
- 92′Arda Altun · Antalyaspor0:2
Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 17.05Kocaelispor1:0
- 09.05away · Galatasaray2:4
- 03.05Alanyaspor0:0
- 25.04away · Göztepe0:2
- 17.04Konyaspor0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Turkish Cup on the same day
- 3827351The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
- 4027331The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
- 3527392The most likely outcome came true: 21:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 1:2.2.8
- 3427392The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:1.2.8
- 3827351The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.7
- AnkarasporKırklarelisporfinal 3:2 (90 min 2:2)6023181The most likely outcome did not happen: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 3:0.2.9
- 3727361The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 3427392The most likely outcome did not happen: 23:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →