Turkish Cup, round 3 · Wednesday, 28 October, (UTC+3) · Silivri Stadyumu
Silivrispor — Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı Futbol Kulubu
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In short
Final score 3:2: the model's most likely outcome, Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı Futbol Kulubu to win (39%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 39% fails in about 61 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Silivrispor 34%, Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı Futbol Kulubu 39%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Silivrispor — Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı Futbol Kulubu What is xG? | 1.3–1.4 | |
| Silivrispor not to lose | 61% | |
| Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı Futbol Kulubu not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Silivrispor
- Silivrispor goals
- Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı Futbol Kulubu goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Match events
- 18′Yasin Atis · Silivrispor1:0
- 26′Yasin Atis · Silivrispor2:0
- 63′Hafiz Gorkem Vardar · Silivrispor3:0
- 68′Arda Uzun · Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı Futbol Kulubu3:1
- 81′Arda Uzun · penalty · Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı Futbol Kulubu3:2
Form
Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı Futbol Kulubu
- 04.03Kocaelispor1:0
- 03.02away · Rizespor1:1
- 14.01Fenerbahçe0:1
- 24.12away · Keçiörengücü1:3
- 03.12Göztepe1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Turkish Cup on the same day
- 2024572The most likely outcome came true: 20:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.2.9
- 3827351The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
- 4027331The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
- 3527392The most likely outcome came true: 21:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 1:2.2.8
- 3427392The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:1.2.8
- 3827351The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.7
- AnkarasporKırklarelisporfinal 3:2 (90 min 2:2)6023181The most likely outcome did not happen: 13:2Final score 3:2. Model's score: 3:0.2.9
- 3727361The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →