UEFA Champions League, round 4 · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK

LASK — Slovan Bratislava

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Model prediction for 3 November

LASK72%
Draw18%
Slovan Bratislava11%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

LASK are clear favourites: 72% against 11% for the opponent, draw 18%.

3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 51%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings LASK are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: LASK — Slovan Bratislava What is xG?2.4–0.8
LASK not to lose89%
Slovan Bratislava not to lose28%
No draw82%
Both teams to score: yes51%
Both teams to score: no49%
Total over 2.562%
Total under 2.538%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap LASK
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  • Slovan Bratislava goals
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Form

LASK

  • 11.10Rapid Wien0:2
  • 20.09away · Hartberg3:3
  • 13.09away · Sturm Graz1:2
  • 08.09away · AEK Athens0:1
  • 01.09away · Wolfsberger AC3:1

Slovan Bratislava

  • 09.09away · Paris Saint-Germain1:6
  • 18.12Häcken1:0
  • 11.12away · KF Shkendija0:2
  • 27.11Rayo Vallecano2:1
  • 06.11away · KuPS1:3

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
26Viking20114–6-21
27LASK10010–1-10
28Inter20024–6-20
34Galatasaray20022–7-50
35Slovan Bratislava10011–6-50
36Bodø/Glimt10010–5-50

Season 2026/27

Full table

Champions League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →