UEFA Nations League, round 2, League C, group 2 · Monday, 28 September, MSK · Stadions Skonto
Latvia — Cyprus
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:0Missed
In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Latvia to win (36%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 36% fails in about 64 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Latvia 36%, Cyprus 35%, draw 29%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- National-team Elo: Latvia 1273, Cyprus 1306 — Cyprus rated higher.
- Latvia: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Latvia — Cyprus What is xG? | 1.3–1.3 | |
| Latvia not to lose | 65% | |
| Cyprus not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
91 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Latvia
- Latvia goals
- Cyprus goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 25.09away · Armenia0:2
- 09.06Faroe Islands0:1
- 06.06away · Lithuania1:1
- 31.03Gibraltar1:0
- 26.03away · Gibraltar1:0
- 25.09away · Montenegro1:2
- 07.06away · Liechtenstein2:0
- 04.06away · Slovenia1:1
- 30.03Moldova3:2
- 26.03Belarus0:1
Head to head
- 21.03.2024Cyprus — Latvia1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion to the league above | Montenegro | 4 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 2, Promotion play-offs | Cyprus | 4 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 3 | Armenia | 4 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Latvia | 4 | 0 | -4 | 1 |
Next matches
- LatviaMontenegro2 October · UEFA Nations League2228502The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:1.2.5
- CyprusArmenia2 October · UEFA Nations League3826361The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:1.3.2
UEFA Nations League on the same day
- 2727462The most likely outcome did not happen: 20:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:2.2.8
- 3127432The most likely outcome came true: 22:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 1:2.2.9
- 2926442The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:2.3.0
- 3026442The most likely outcome came true: 21:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 1:2.3.0
- 2931402The most likely outcome did not happen: 20:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 0:1.2.3
- 4728251The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:4Final score 2:4. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
- 4525291The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 2:1.3.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →