Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
LDU de Quito — Barcelona SC
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:1Came true
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, LDU de Quito to win (52%), came true.
LDU de Quito are clear favourites: 52% against 20% for the opponent, draw 28%.
The model expects few goals: 2.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.4.
Over 2.5 goals — 31%, both teams to score — 37%.
Why
- By the strength ratings LDU de Quito are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: LDU de Quito — Barcelona SC What is xG? | 1.3–0.7 | |
| LDU de Quito not to lose | 80% | |
| Barcelona SC not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 37% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 63% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 31% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 69% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap LDU de Quito
- LDU de Quito goals
- Barcelona SC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 21.09Universidad Católica (ECU)2:1
- 17.09Palmeiras3:2
- 13.09Deportivo Cuenca1:1
- 10.09away · Palmeiras0:1
- 05.09away · Técnico Universitario3:1
- 14.09Delfín1:1
- 07.09away · Aucas1:1
- 03.09Independiente del Valle2:1
- 30.08away · Manta0:2
- 23.08Orense3:0
Head to head
- 27.07.2026Barcelona SC — LDU de Quito0:1
- 04.04.2026LDU de Quito — Barcelona SC0:2
- 23.11.2025Barcelona SC — LDU de Quito2:2
- 18.10.2025LDU de Quito — Barcelona SC3:0
- 25.07.2025Barcelona SC — LDU de Quito0:1
Next matches
- AucasLDU de Quito18 October · LigaPro Serie A353135XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.1
- Barcelona SCUniversidad Católica (ECU)19 October · LigaPro Serie A3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →