Ligue 1, round 9 · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Le Havre — Paris Saint-Germain
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Paris Saint-Germain are clear favourites: 75% against 8% for the opponent, draw 17%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Paris Saint-Germain are about 1.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Le Havre — Paris Saint-Germain What is xG? | 0.8–2.3 | |
| Le Havre not to lose | 25% | |
| Paris Saint-Germain not to lose | 92% | |
| No draw | 83% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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- Le Havre goals
- Paris Saint-Germain goals
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Form
- 10.10Le Mans3:1
- 20.09away · Marseille2:1
- 13.09away · Brest1:0
- 09.09Slovan Bratislava6:1
- 04.09Monaco1:2
Head to head
- 28.02.2026Le Havre — Paris Saint-Germain0:1
- 22.11.2025Paris Saint-Germain — Le Havre3:0
- 19.04.2025Paris Saint-Germain — Le Havre2:1
- 16.08.2024Le Havre — Paris Saint-Germain1:4
- 27.04.2024Paris Saint-Germain — Le Havre3:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Paris FC | 6 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 6, Europa League or Conference League | Paris Saint-Germain | 6 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 7 | Brest | 6 | 2 | +3 | 8 |
| 17, Relegation | Troyes | 6 | 1 | -9 | 4 |
| 18, Relegation | Le Havre | 6 | 0 | -4 | 2 |
Ligue 1 on the same day
- LilleLenspreliminary4128311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →