La Liga, round 8 · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Levante — Sevilla
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3:3Missed
In short
Final score 3:3: the model's most likely outcome, Levante to win (45%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 45% fails in about 55 matches out of 100 on average.
Levante are slightly stronger: 45% against 27%, draw 28%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Levante are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Levante — Sevilla What is xG? | 1.5–1.2 | |
| Levante not to lose | 73% | |
| Sevilla not to lose | 55% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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- Handicap Levante
- Levante goals
- Sevilla goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 20.09away · Villarreal1:3
- 13.09Barcelona2:4
- 06.09away · Málaga0:0
- 29.08Real Betis5:2
- 24.08away · Osasuna0:0
- 19.09Barcelona1:3
- 16.09away · Deportivo A Coruña1:0
- 11.09Valencia1:0
- 06.09away · Espanyol1:1
- 29.08Atlético Madrid1:3
Head to head
- 23.04.2026Levante — Sevilla2:0
- 04.01.2026Sevilla — Levante0:3
- 21.04.2022Levante — Sevilla2:3
- 24.10.2021Sevilla — Levante5:3
- 21.04.2021Levante — Sevilla0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Champions League | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | +11 | 18 |
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
| 6, Europa League or Conference League | Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | -3 | 13 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 8 | 2 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | -4 | 6 |
| 18, Relegation | Elche | 8 | 1 | -6 | 6 |
Next matches
- Deportivo A CoruñaLevante16 October · La Liga3829331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Real MadridSevilla18 October · La Liga811361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →